My NFL Week 13 parlay pick starts at Lambeau Field. Will Green Bay end the losing streak, or will Tampa continue the Packers’ misery? I also like The San Francisco at Chicago game. Are the 49’ers staring at their second win of the season on Dec. 3? The final game of my NFL Week 13 Parlay Pick is Denver at Miami. Which team comes up big against the spread in that one?

3-Team Parlay Pick

  • Green Bay
  • San Francisco +5.5

Tampa Bay at Green Bay
When:  Sunday, Dec. 3 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
TV: FOX
Odds: Pick Em

Analysis: Green Bay played about as well as they could in the Packers 28 to 31 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers this past Sunday night. The Pack stepped onto Heinz Field as a +14 dog.

Green Bay’s offense got on track versus one of the better defenses in the NFL. Could the Packers carry that over versus Tampa Bay on Sunday? I think so.

Tampa lost 20 to 34 to the Atlanta Falcons in Week 12. The Buccaneers are 3-7-1 against the spread this season. Tampa’s gone 1-4-1 against the spread in road games.

Pick: Green Bay

San Francisco at Chicago
When:  Sunday, Dec. 3 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
TV: CBS
Odds: San Francisco +5.5

Analysis: I don’t understand how Chicago can be a close to -6-home favorite versus the San Francisco 49’ers. The Bears have lost 4 in a row. Chicago is 4-1-1 against the spread at home, though. Could it be that the Bears are just better versus the spread in home games?

I don’t think so. Those 4 home covers against the spread were in games where the Chicago Bears were the ATS underdogs. Chicago won’t be the underdogs on Sunday.

I must take the points. I’m not sure how much better Chicago is than the San Francisco 49’ers. That’s a legit concern. Not only that, but QB Jimmy Garoppolo might start for SF. He’s a definite upgrade from C.J. Beathard.

Pick: San Francisco

3-Team Parlay Pick

  • Green Bay
  • San Francisco +5.5
  • Denver

Denver at Miami
When:  Sunday, Dec. 3 at 1:00 pm ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
TV: FOX
Odds:  Pick Em

Analysis: Which team is worse? The Miami Dolphins or the Denver Broncos? I think the Miami Dolphins are worse. Miami doesn’t have an offense or a defense. The Dolphins allow 26.3 points per game on defense. On offense, the Dolphins average 15.8 points per game.

Denver’s offense should be much better in Week 13 now that the Broncos are resigned to starting QB Trevor Siemian. Siemian has the most potential of the 3 quarterbacks on Denver’s active roster. Paxton Lynch was a disaster in his first start.

More importantly, Denver’s defense ranks third in yards allowed per game. If all Siemian does is not throw interceptions, the Broncos should beat the Dolphins rather handily on Dec. 3.

Pick: Denver